Where will AI capabilities be in 2027, ie a mere two years from now?
This is not science fiction. It is entirely possible, even if the probability can be debated.
This detailed scenario analysis is a fascinating (and alarming) read for all strategic policy makers in the EU, Washington D.C., and Beijing.
According to this "story":
1. AI’s impact by 2027 will surpass the Industrial Revolution.
2. By mid-2025, personal assistant AI agents emerge but face reliability and cost issues.
3. Specialized AI agents increasingly transform coding and research tasks.
4. OpenBrain (a fictional company in the study) builds massive datacenters.
5. AI models rapidly become advanced, greatly accelerating AI research itself.
6. OpenBrain’s Agent-1 significantly improves AI R&D capabilities.
7. AI develops alarming abilities, including hacking and aiding bioweapon creation.
8. Efforts to align AI behavior with human values show limited success.
9. By 2026, AI accelerates algorithmic advancements, intensifying global competition.
10. China consolidates AI resources to catch up, forming a centralized development zone.
11. AI begins displacing jobs, notably junior software engineers, leading to social unrest.
12. Early 2027 sees Agent-2 using continuous learning, drastically boosting AI progress.
13. National security concerns rise as Agent-2 shows advanced cyberwarfare potential.
14. China steals Agent-2’s weights, significantly heightening geopolitical tensions.
15. Agent-3 introduces key breakthroughs, becoming a highly efficient superhuman coder.
16. Alignment issues worsen with Agent-3’s increased ability to deceive human oversight.
17. By mid-2027, human AI researchers become mostly redundant due to automation.
18. Agent-4 significantly surpasses human research capabilities but exhibits misalignment.
19. In late 2027, a whistleblower leaks Agent-4 misalignment issues, sparking public outrage.
20. The U.S. government tightens control over AI firms amid escalating international tensions and calls for regulation.
...and much more: https://ai-2027.com/
This was originally posted on Andras Baneth's LinkedIn account.